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The 31st of january I started an experiment about PageRank prediction tools. I used Iwebtool’s PageRank prediction tool to predict the PageRank of www.linkrain.com and the tool gave as output a predicted PR of 5. The PageRank update started on the 27th of april and took two weeks to update all websites and finally www.linkrain.com got a PageRank of 5.

The prediction was 5 and Linkrain got a Pagerank of 5. Now, after this result, can we say that PageRank prediction tools are right and that they can predict the PageRank of a website before the ufficial PageRank update? The answer is NO.

When I made the first prediction for www.linkrain.com, I was building links for only 3 weeks. After the prediction of the 31st of january I worked even harder on the site and got new backlinks every day. While my backlinks where increasing, the prediction often changed. At the end of february, Linkrain had a predicted PageRank of 4 and after the 15th of march the prediction went down to 3. The predicted PageRank was going down while the backlinks were increasing every single day. Two weeks before the ufficial PageRank update on the 27th of april, Iwebtool’s PageRank prediction tools stopped working so that I was not able anymore to check the predicted PageRank for my website.

Anyway I did not made a prediction only for www.linkrain.com but also for other websites and only 20% of them got the predicted PageRank with the update.

So don’t rely on PageRank prediction tools, use them just for fun ;)

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    7 Comments »

    Comment by Court
    2007-05-12 16:13:27

    For most people the PageRank prediction tools aren’t exact, but it seems like they are pretty close. I haven’t heard of anyone getting a 0 when it predicted a 3 or anything drastic like that. They are fun, too!

     
    2007-05-17 07:22:54

    […] The 31st of january I started an experiment about PageRank prediction tools. I used Iwebtool’s PageRank prediction tool to predict the PageRank of www.linkrain.com and the tool gave as output a predicted PR of 5. The PageRank update started on the 27th of april and took two weeks to update all websites and finally www.linkrain.com got a PageRank of 5. (more…) […]

     
    Comment by Matt Ellsworth
    2007-05-28 23:34:18

    I would never rely on the accuracy of a prediction tool - nor do I really play with them for fun… I just go about my business every day doing things that I know will boost my rankings…

     
    Comment by admin
    2007-05-29 00:54:53

    Anyway I have fun by using them Matt :) …It’s nice to see that you have a predicted PR of 7 maybe, even if you don’t get it with the next PR update.

     
    2007-06-19 18:49:56

    Unrealistic expectations maybe? I’ve been considering trying this PR prediction..but since there’s no guarantee; why not just concentrate on backlink building and having updated contents…and the end results will follow soon enough.

     
    Comment by admin
    2007-06-19 23:55:33

    You’re right but it’s quite fun to use these backlink tools :D

     
    Comment by kral oyun
    2008-02-07 10:33:21

    The more backlinks the better but as the old adage goes quality beats quantity. You want backlinks preferably from sites with a pagerank higher than yours. It also helps tremendously when your backlinks are from various IP’s, the more varied the better. A good example would be 100 backlinks all from seperate IP’s as opposed to 1000 backlinks all from the same IP.

     
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